The agricultural share of a total output generally declines in the process of economic growth. The major reason for this is that consumer demand for food increases only slightly with rising incomes. However, a small, open economy can overcome this constraint to the growth of agricultural production by expanding its net exports. The basic aim of this paper is to set up a chaotic growth model of the gross domestic product that is capable of generating stable equilibria, cycles, or chaos depending on parameter values.

Using the autoregression models, the paper considers movement of agricultural population. Irregular movement of agricultural population can be analyzed within the formal framework of the chaotic growth model.